Aurélien BAILLON
Professor level 1
Themes of research
1. Decision under risk and uncertainty
2. Expert opinion aggregation
3. Truth telling and deception
Prizes and awards
Publications
Gonzalez-Jimenez, David, Capozza, Francesco, Dirkmaat, Thomas, Van De Veer, Evelien, van Druten, Amber, Baillon, Aurélien. 2025. Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 230 : 23 p.
Aydogan, Ilke, Baillon, Aurélien, Kemel, Emmanuel, Li, Chen. 2025. How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices. Quantitative Economics, 16 (1) : 329-365 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, O'Donnell, Owen, Quimbo, Stella, Van Wilgenburg, Kim. 2022. Do time preferences explain low health insurance take-up?. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 89 (4) : 951-983 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Granic, Georg D. 2022. Incentives in surveys. Journal of Economic Psychology, 93 : 13 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Halevy, Yoram, Li, Chen. 2022. Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system. Experimental Economics, 25 (3) : 1002-1023 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Emirmahmutoglu, Aysil, Jaspersen, Johannes, Peter, Richard. 2022. When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention. Operations Research, 70 (3) : 1371-1392 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Halevy, Yoram, Li, Chen. 2022. Randomize at your own Risk: on the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion. Econometrica, 90 (3) : 1085-1107 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Kraft, Aleli, O'Donnell, Owen, Van Wilgenburg, Kim. 2022. A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 64 (1) : 43-87 p.
Van Der Zee, Sophie, Poppe, Ronald, Havrileck, Alice, Baillon, Aurélien. 2022. A Personal Model of Trumpery: Linguistic Deception Detection in a Real-World High-Stakes Setting. Psychological Science, 33 (1) : 3-17 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Capuno, Joseph, O'Donnell, Owen, Tan, Carlos Antonio Jr., Van Wilgenburg, Kim. 2022. Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment. Journal of Health Economics, 81 : 17 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Li, Chen, Wakker, Peter P. 2021. Belief hedges: Measuring ambiguity for all events and all models. Journal of Economic Theory, 198 : 28 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, L'Haridon, Olivier. 2021. Discrete Arrow-Pratt indexes for risk and uncertainty. Economic Theory, 72 (4) : 1375-1393 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Xu, Yan. 2021. Simple bets to elicit private signals. Theoretical Economics, 16 (3) : 777-797 p.
Johnson, Cathleen, Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Li, Zhihua, Van Dolder, Dennie, Wakker, Peter P. 2021. Prince: An Improved Method For Measuring Incentivized Preferences. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 62 (1) : 1-28 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Spinu, Vitalie. 2020. Searching for the reference point. Management Science, 66 (1) : 93-112 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, De Bruin, Jeroen, Emirmahmutoglu, Aysil, Van De Veer, Evelien, Van Dijk, Bram. 2019. Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks. PLOS ONE, 14 (12) : 15 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Placido, Laetitia. 2019. Testing constant absolute and relative ambiguity aversion. Journal of Economic Theory, 181 : 309-332 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Emirmahmutoglu, Aysil. 2018. Zooming in on ambiguity attitudes. International Economic Review, 59 (4) : 2107-2131 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Huang, Zhenxing, Selim, Asli, Wakker, Peter P. 2018. Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events. Econometrica, 86 (5) : 1839-1858 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Schlesinger, Harris, Van De Kuilen, Gijs. 2018. Measuring higher order ambiguity preferences. Experimental Economics, 21 (2) : 233-256 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Keskin, Umut, L'Haridon, Olivier, Li, Chen. 2018. The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes. Management Science, 64 (5) : 2181-2198 p.
Baillon, Aurélien. 2017. Prudence with Respect to Ambiguity. The Economic Journal, 127 (604) : 1731-1755 p.
Baillon, Aurélien. 2017. Bayesian markets to elicit private information. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114 (30) : 7958-7962 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Liu, Ning, Van Dolder, Dennie. 2017. Comparing uncertainty aversion towards different sources. Theory and Decision, 83 (1) : 1-18 p.
Baillon, Aurélien, Bleichrodt, Han, Huang, Zhenxing, Potter Van Loon, Rogier. 2017. Measuring ambiguity attitude: (Extended) multiplier preferences for the American and the Dutch population. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 54 (3) : 269-281 p.
Academic articles
Expertise
- Decision theory
- Experiments
- Uncertainty
- Risk
- Ambiguity
- Prevention
- Belief elicitation